Category Archives: Uncategorized

NPPs, Bikes, and Priests

Frankly, I had no idea that the three could ever be rolled into one story until I saw “this press release”:http://www.rosatom.com/en/press-releases/10594_19.06.2008 from Rosatom…

_19.06.2008 // Public Information Center of Volgodonsk NPP/Press Service of Rosenergoatom Concern_

_Volgodonsk NPP-Zaporizhia NPP bike race is setting off on June 24_

*The organizer of the race is Volgodonsk Nuclear Power Plant. The objective of this event is to cultivate healthy lifestyle and to develop friendly relations among the satellite cities of nuclear power plants.* The first such race was conducted in 2004: from Volgodonsk NPP to Novovoronezh NPP, the second in 2007: from Volgodonsk NPP to Balakovo NPP.

*The Volgodonsk bike racers are not afraid of heat and rain. They overcome any obstacles with ease.* The captain of the team is the deputy director for personnel of Volgodonsk NPP Gennady Fomenko.

The managers of the plant and the families will come to big farewell to the racers. *The primate of Volgodonsk perish Father Sergiy will bless them.*

OK, maybe the translator shouldn’t have missed the typos or used the word “primate.” In any case, I hope you already know that priests and NPPs are tight. See the Rosatom photo below for proof.

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PSI Metrics: Rood Vs. Hadley

Figuring out how the world has changed post-PSI has “always been”:http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2006_09/interdiction.asp a bit of a challenge. J Rood and S Hadley took a stab at defining some metrics for success late last month as the Bush administration took the 5th anniversary of the initiative to talk about how awesome it is.

Not sure it worked out, though. Here’s what Rood said to some reporters, “according to _AFP_:”:http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5iRKd1kgGLUVPl-_nPi81GPo9R-Vg

bq. “Metric (of success) number one: we have 90 countries participating in just five years,”

Rood also urged “reporters not to ‘measure PSI’s success from the number of scalps.’ ”

Hadley, though, “said something different”:http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/05/20080528-3.html the next day:

bq. Today, more than 90 nations have endorsed its principles. Yet *the success of PSI can’t be measured by the number of nations it embraces, but by the effect they have on the ground.*

Gotta workshop the talking points some more, I guess.

Expanded Nuclear Target Set?

Looks that way. The United States has long suggested that it might respond to the use of CBWs with nuclear weapons, though the Bush administration took it a bit further, as Wade Boese “reported”:http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2003_01-02/wmdstrategy_janfeb03.asp in early 2003:

bq. Like past administrations, the Bush team is ambiguous about whether it would use nuclear weapons to respond to an attack with biological or chemical weapons—though *it has taken the extra step of making that ambiguity official policy.* The strategy reads, “The United States will continue to make clear that it reserves the right to respond with overwhelming force—including through resort to all of our options—to the use of WMD against the United States, our forces abroad, and friends and allies.” The administration source said *NSPD 17, the classified version of the strategy, explicitly states that “overwhelming force” potentially includes nuclear weapons.*

But Steve Hadley has made a couple of statements during the past few months which suggest that we have a whole lot more people on the list of potential nuclear targets.

First, Hadley “said in February”:http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/02/20080211-6.html that we have a new declaratory policy RE: deterring WMD terrorism:

bq. As part of this strategy to combat nuclear terrorism, *the President has approved a new declaratory policy to help deter terrorists from using weapons of mass destruction against the United States, our friends, and allies.*

Although stating that we might use nuclear weapons in response to CBW attacks isn’t new, Hadley stated that we might use nukes against anyone who _helps_ another country obtain or use WMD:

And finally, *deterrence policy targeted at those states, organizations, or individuals who might enable or facilitate terrorists in obtaining or using weapons of mass destruction,* can help prevent the terrorists from ever gaining these weapons in the first place.

As many of you know, the United States has made clear for many years that it reserves the right to respond with overwhelming force to the use of weapons of mass destruction against the United States, our people, our forces and our friends and allies. Additionally, *the United States will hold any state, terrorist group, or other non-state actor fully accountable for supporting or enabling terrorist efforts to obtain or use weapons of mass destruction, whether by facilitating, financing, or providing expertise or safe haven for such efforts.*

Hadley “told a Washington audience”:http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/05/20080528-3.html essentially the same thing in May.

I guess there _may_ be some question as to whether holding an entity “fully accountable” is distinct from responding with “overwhelming force,” but the two seem pretty closely related in Hadley’s statement.

Interestingly, Bush “used the phrase”:http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/10/20061009.html when talking about North Korea’s nuclear test:

bq. The transfer of nuclear weapons or material by North Korea to states or non-state entities would be considered a grave threat to the United States, and we would hold North Korea *fully accountable* of [sic] the consequences of such action.

Start making a list…

Geek Check! Part Deux

In the spirit of “this post”:http://www.totalwonkerr.com/1092/geek-check by Paul from a few years back, just a note that the 2007 version of the “*IAEA/OECD Red Book* is out”:http://www.iaea.or.at/NewsCenter/News/2008/uraniumreport.html. An “OECD/NEA press release”:http://www.nea.fr/html/general/press/2008/2008-02.html notes that the 2007 Red Book

bq. estimates the identified amount of conventional uranium resources which can be mined for less than USD 130/kg to be about _5.5 million tonnes_, up from the _4.7 million tonnes_ reported in 2005. Undiscovered resources, i.e. uranium deposits that can be expected to be found based on the geological characteristics of already discovered resources, have also risen to _10.5 million tonnes_. This is an increase of _0.5 million tonnes_ compared to the previous edition of the report. The increases are due to both new discoveries and re-evaluations of known resources, encouraged by higher prices.

You can (*and should*) spend the weekend reading the whole thing “*HERE*”:http://213.253.134.43/oecd/pdfs/browseit/6608031E.PDF.

ADE-5 Shutdown Pics

As Pavel Podvig “noted”:http://russianforces.org/blog/2008/06/russia_ends_plutonium_producti.shtml, plutonium production at Seversk was halted yesterday. The website of the Siberian Chemical Combine has “some ADE-5 shutdown pictures”:http://www.atomsib.ru/sci/museum/competitions/20080605_0.html that are worth looking at. I like the fact that “most of the individuals pictured”:http://www.atomsib.ru/sci/museum/competitions/20080605_0/20080605003.JPG are smiling, even though the event is somewhat bittersweet. Check out news videos (in Russian) “here”:http://www.atomsib.ru/press_center/1259/ and “here”:http://www.atomsib.ru/press_center/1261/ too.

Mapping Civil HEU Minimization

Before you take off to enjoy the long weekend, here is a shameless plug for the NTI/CNS “Civilian HEU Reduction & Elimination”:http://www.nti.org/db/heu/index.html pages, which we just updated to reflect the great progress made by the “Global Threat Reduction Initiative”:http://nnsa.energy.gov/nuclear_nonproliferation/1550.htm, most notably, the completion of Soviet-origin HEU fuel “removal from Latvia”:http://nnsa.energy.gov/2006.htm, announced last week. *The Latvia removal brought the total up to about “603.7 kg”:http://www.nti.org/db/heu/pastpresent.html#sovfuel of both spent and fresh HEU fuel* (yes, you can check my math).

My favorite page is the “Civil HEU Stock Map”:http://www.nti.org/db/heu/map.html, which we also just updated (I made a “handy factsheet [PDF]”:http://www.nti.org/db/heu/HEU_Who_Has_What.pdf too). The “IPFM”:http://www.fissilematerials.org also has a cool-looking “HEU Inventory”:http://www.fissilematerials.org/ipfm/pages_us_en/visual/visual/visual.php, but I tend to think that our map is a little more user-friendly. Of course, the “GTRI Map [PDF]”:http://nnsa.energy.gov/nuclear_nonproliferation/documents/GTRI_map3.pdf is also quite nice.

And, to conclude, here a neat picture of casks that were used during last year’s HEU removal from the “Czech Republic”:http://www.iaea.or.at/NewsCenter/News/2007/prague.html. You should also make sure to watch this “cool IAEA video”:http://www.iaea.or.at/NewsCenter/Multimedia/Videos/CNNUnifeed/Rez/index.html that documents the Czech removal.

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Floating NPPs: A Futuristic Conception

A recent issue of Rosatom’s promotional publication “Vestnik Atomproma”:http://www.minatom.ru/i/FileStorage/Vestnik_03-2008.pdf has some cool pictures of floating NPPs, which I posted below. (“Older conceptions”:http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070927/81397620.html tended to be a little bit on the boring side.)

p. !/images/45.jpg!

For the ultimate floating NPP bonanza, you should check out an article in the December 2007 _Jane’s Intelligence Review_ by Ole Reistad and CNS’s own Cristina Hansell, which not only provides a neat history of the floating NPP concept, but is complete with discussion of reactor models, questions about LEU use in the prototype, and a handy map. Reistad and Hansell conclude:

bq. “While … some of the risks of floating nuclear power plants can be assessed, *a full evaluation of the safety and security of the reactors is not possible with the information available*. The initial impetus for the floating plants’ construction was the problem of providing heat and power in the Russian Arctic, but the current drive to produce these plants lays equal emphasis on hopes to lease the facilities to foreign countries for profit… *Russia is currently promising to fuel the floating plants with low-enriched fuel*, a commitment that eliminates the possibility that its fuel could be used to build a nuclear bomb. However, *the idea that the plants could be leased to countries that are otherwise not eligible to receive nuclear technology remains problematic and the economic incentives to reverse the low-enriched fuel decision concerning*.”

p. !/images/47.jpg!

Now Where is That Uranium?

Here’s a silly post about Russia’s new “Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces”:http://russianforces.org/blog/2008/05/dmitri_medvedev_is_the_new_sup.shtml. There are some serious posts in the works, I promise!

The “President of the Russian Federation”:http://www.kremlin.ru website has been quite dramatically updated with information on Dmitry Medvedev in the last few days. For the Russian speakers, the “Uznai Prezidenta”:http://www.uznai-prezidenta.ru/ update is quite priceless. However, for the English speakers, I want to specifically point out Medvedev’s “Photo Album”:http://www.kremlin.ru/eng/photoalbum.shtml
and the section “About Myself”:http://www.kremlin.ru/eng/articles/article200253.shtml. The quote below is how Medvedev describes his choice of career…

p. !/images/43.jpg!

“To be honest, I didn’t give much thought as a child to what I would like to do when I grew up. I liked being out and about, playing games, playing sport, but later, as I grew a bit older, there were several professions that interested me. *I wanted to go into chemistry (I really liked the chemistry experiments we did in school),* and I also wanted to become a teacher.”

Easy as 1-2-3?

As you may have heard, Kiriyenko and Burns “signed”:http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2008/may/104400.htm the Agreement for Cooperation in the Field of Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy today in Moscow. (“RIA Novosti”:http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080506/106730497.html) I’ll update this post with more links later on. For now, here is the corresponding “Rosatom press release”:http://www.rosatom.com/en/news/9811_06.05.2008.

The White House also issued a “press release”:http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/05/20080506-5.html stating that the “President is pleased” at the signing of the 123 Agreement, which

bq. “will provide a framework for potential commercial sales of civil nuclear commodities to Russia by U.S companies… [and] pave the way for further cooperation under both bilateral and multinational programs and initiatives on nuclear energy and nonproliferation, such as the July 2007 U.S.-Russia Declaration on Nuclear Energy and Nonproliferation and the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP).”

Check out the “Presidential Determination 2008-19″:http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/05/20080506-4.html, which states…

bq. *”I have determined that the performance of the Agreement will promote, and will not constitute an unreasonable risk to, the common defense and security.* Pursuant to section 123 b. of the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended (42 U.S.C. 2153(b)), I hereby approve the proposed Agreement and authorize the Secretary of State to arrange for its execution.”

Also, chew on a great Nuclear Threat Initiative “issue brief on the U.S.-Russian 123”:http://www.nti.org/e_research/e3_78.html that a CNS colleague wrote some time back.

PrepCom Goings On

The Acronym Institute has some “neat reporting on the PrepCom”:http://www.acronym.org.uk/npt/index.htm that should be checked out by all. “Day One”:http://www.acronym.org.uk/npt/08pc01.htm seems to have been quite exciting…

bq. At the end of the day, Syria exercised its right of reply, saying it regretted Canada’s “misleading allegations of nuclear activities” in Syria, which it called a “falsification of the facts… totally undocumented and untrue”. Noting that these allegations had also been taken up by France and Japan, Syria blamed the US administration and said it believed that the purpose of such allegations was to influence the Six Party negotiations on North Korea. *It called on the US to “be wise enough to stop creating further crises in the Middle East, which is already suffering a lot due to the confusion and mistakes of US policy”, and suggested that if Canada really wanted to contribute to peace it would call on Israel to join the NPT and dismantle its nuclear weapons and facilities.*