This 2013 piece by Gregory Treverton about the 2007 Iran NIE is a good read, even if I disagree with some of it.
I especially like this bit:
This 2013 piece by Gregory Treverton about the 2007 Iran NIE is a good read, even if I disagree with some of it.
I especially like this bit:
The song title and lyrics are the same.
Because you really wanted this on your Saturday night.
Bring on our annihilation as our world in chaos collapses.
It never fails to amaze me how quickly we forget.
Watch our world in chaos collapse.
In this article, Gareth Porter quotes Thomas Fingar several times about the 2007 NIE on Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Fingar provides a few insights into the process of creating such an estimate:
… a draft completed in June 2007, after several months of work, simply reaffirmed the main conclusions of the 2005 estimate, according to Fingar. In testimony in early July before the House Armed Services Committee, Fingar actually restated, word for word, the primary conclusion of the 2005 NIE: “We assess that Tehran is determined to develop nuclear weapons, despite its international obligations and international pressure.”
That draft conclusion reflected what Fingar called “the deference that was paid to prior judgments.” Previous NIE’s “damn near came to be sacred texts,” he said. “To go back and redo, relook at original information and judgment reached earlier — it simply wasn’t done.”
Fingar also provides a detail about the dissent which appears in the 2007 NIE:
[Fingar] said that he had personally dissented from the NIE’s “high confidence” that Iran had “halted its nuclear weapons program” in 2003. “The dissent,” he explained to me, “was on the level of confidence that the halt had embraced all aspects of the program. I did not think we had enough specific information to have high confidence that it did.“
We have a deadly biological weapon
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This June 9 letter from the Russian Mission to the UN references paragraph 36 from this 2012 report from the relevant UN Panel of Experts. Here’s that portion of the report:
A compilation of posts about Crass:
I find it interesting that the response below apparently only addresses terrorist acquisition of state-produced chemical or biological agents.
Here are 3 recent IAEA INFCIRCs featuring communications from Iran to the agency: