Category Archives: Libya

Libya’s Theory of the Hard Cases

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Why the big struggles with Iran and North Korea over nuclear weapons, nuclear technology, and delivery systems? Libya’s ambassador to the UN has the Simple AnswerTM you’ve been looking for:

“We gave some devices, some centrifuges, for example for America, but what do you give us? Nothing,” said Abdelrahman Shalgham, who served as foreign minister for eight years before being named ambassador to the United Nations this month. “That’s why we think North Korea and Iran are hesitating now to have a breakthrough regarding their projects.”

(That’s Ambassador Shalgam in happier times, above, poised to corral the Secretary of State.)

These and other remarks appear in a “fine article”:http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/11/world/africa/11libya.html by Michael Slackman of the _New York Times._ Therein, we learn that welcoming Libya back into the family of nations wasn’t enough. Partly, Libyan officials would like to see more rapid progress in civil nuclear cooperation. But most of all, they are surprised to see the continuation of the State Department’s routine hectoring on human rights:

One diplomat in Libya, who spoke on the condition that he not be identified because he was not authorized to speak to the news media, said the government was shocked that the United States still criticized Libya’s human rights record. Libya is a police state where security services operate with impunity and political opposition is not allowed.

“When you were enemies, we didn’t care,” the diplomat said after the State Department issued its latest “human rights report”:http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2008/index.htm this month. “But now, you are supposed to be friends. We were surprised. There were “16 pages”:http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2008/nea/119121.htm targeting Libya.”

(The links are in “the item as it appears at nytimes.com”:http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/11/world/africa/11libya.html.)

Tripoli is 1,200 miles east and a universe away from “Casablanca”:http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0034583/. One hears genuine shock and betrayal in these words. So in the interests of international understanding, allow me to assure our new Libyan friends that it’s not about them. Pretty much the “entire world”:http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2008/index.htm is represented in the State Department’s annual human rights report, with the glaring but scarcely surprising exception of the United States itself. For that, we have “Mark Danner”:http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/15/opinion/15danner.html. [Update: And “China”:http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-02/26/content_10904741.htm, too!]

Friends, enemies, and everything in between show up in the annual report. Even “Canada”:http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2008/wha/119151.htm. Even “Switzerland”:http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2008/eur/119108.htm. As far as I can tell, the one and only country that gets a pass is “the Holy See”:https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/vt.html.

Life’s not fair, you know?

Does the Ambassador Have a Point?

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Now, having said all that, Ambassador Shalgham may have a little bit of a point. Exhibit A: North Korea. Since 2005, the United States has had not one but two special envoys for North Korea. One of them, Jay Lefkowitz — that’s his mug shot, right there — has “human rights as his special charge”:http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/biog/66929.htm. This has not stopped him from addressing the nuclear track, which he sees as properly “interwoven with human rights and aid”:http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122999769691029167.html:

Today, a Helsinki-style model should be replicated with North Korea, and the U.S. should promote linkage among security, economic and human-rights issues. Significant economic assistance to North Korea should be offered, including development assistance, World Bank loans, trade access and food aid, but it must be given only in return for tangible, verifiable progress on all issues on the agenda. And human-rights progress should not be measured by bureaucrats meeting and reading prepared statements, but by tangible steps that move North Korea closer to the norms of the international community.

“This”:http://www.aei.org/events/eventID.1635,filter.all/event_detail.asp “sort of thing”:http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/01/17/korea.nuclear/index.html does not go unnoticed “in Pyongyang”:http://www.kcna.co.jp/item/2008/200801/news01/29.htm#1, where it is seen as evidence of a “hostile policy”:http://www.kcna.co.jp/item/2005/200508/news08/29.htm#8:

Such U.S. behavior is a very disturbing act as it is little short of challenging the DPRK which has shown generous magnanimity and flexibility for a solution to the nuclear issue and an act of throwing a hurdle in the way of the six-party talks. The U.S. seems not to be interested in the dialogue and the settlement of the nuclear issue at all but more keen on standing in confrontation with the DPRK and bringing about a “regime change” and “bringing down the system” in the DPRK. If the U.S. persists in such behavior, it will compel the DPRK to change its mind. The U.S. should abolish at once such unreasonable post of “envoy” and abandon its ambition to “bring down system in the DPRK.”

Mr. Lefkowitz doesn’t get many invitations to Pyongyang.

Square That Circle! Or Not.

So what to do when nonproliferation objectives seem to conflict with human rights objectives, or other important goals, for that matter? Your humble correspondent here won’t pretend to have Simple AnswersTM to these knotty questions. What answers he might have are neither simple nor really within the scope of an arms control blog. So let’s just conclude.

Certain other countries absolutely see America’s interest in human rights and democracy as a threat, and the mistrust this creates can seriously complicate the pursuit of other objectives. It’s not just North Korea. Take the Russians, for example, or “the Iranians”:http://www.wilsoncenter.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=news.item&news_id=238778. [Link fixed.] (Mark Haas has placed “this phenomenon in broader historical perspective”:http://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/cup_detail.taf?ti_id=4350.)

So before we make a serious effort to negotiate, we might want to figure out which issues we really want on the table.

And let’s recognize that some issues are likely to force themselves onto the agenda regardless. “Like this one”:http://iran.bahai.us/2009/03/13/bahai-leaders-on-trial-coverage/. [Update: “Or this”:http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/03/15/AR2009031501737.html.] This being America, complicating factors like public opinion and civil society can’t be wished away. It’s a Free Country,TM with all that entails.

Nothing’s simple, really.

Related topic: Dan Byman of Georgetown U. has asked, “Do Counterproliferation and Counterterrorism Go Together?”:http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/taps/psq/2007/00000122/00000001/art00002. He’s giving “a talk on the subject”:http://cissm.umd.edu/papers/display.php?id=425 at the University of Maryland College Park this coming April 30. Thanks, “FCNL Nuclear Calendar!”:http://www.fcnl.org/NuclearCalendar/

Cross-posted to “ArmsControlWonk.com”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/2221/libyas-theory-of-the-hard-cases. See the “comments at ACW”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/2221/libyas-theory-of-the-hard-cases#comment.

Late update: Here’s the “official Iranian view on human rights”:http://isna.ir/Isna/NewsView.aspx?ID=News-1313839&Lang=E.

Libya/UK Peace and Security Letter

“This looks”:http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2006/infcirc679.pdf kind of interesting. Libya and the UK signed a joint letter of Peace and Security in June.

My colleague Michael Nguyen wrote about it in “this month’s _ACT_”:http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2006_09/uklibya.asp.

He wrote:

bq. On June 26 in Tripoli, British Junior Foreign Minister Kim Howells signed a “Joint Letter of Peace and Security” with his counterpart, Libyan Secretary for European Affairs Abdullati Obidi. The letter pledges that the United Kingdom will seek UN Security Council action if another state attacks Libya with chemical or biological weapons. The United Kingdom also pledged to aid Libya in strengthening its defense capabilities, and both states pledged to work jointly to combat the proliferation of “weapons of mass destruction” (WMD).

The US apparently has no plans to follow suit anytime soon.

Note to CFR.org: BBC China =/= PSI Op

Eben Kaplan wrote “a piece”:http://www.cfr.org/publication/11061/preventing_ballistic_surprises.html a few weeks ago about the PSI. Overall, it’s not bad. But it contains an all-too-frequent error.

He wrote:

bq. Among the PSI’s most notable successes was the 2003 interception of a shipment of nuclear centrifuge parts from the A.Q. Khan network to Libya.

Bzzzt. The BBC China wasn’t a PSI operation. I blogged about this before “here.”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/624/psi-lacks-sweet-libya-skills As an aside, David Sanger recently made the same mistake “in this piece,”:http://select.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=FB0F14FC34540C768DDDAE0894DE404482 calling the interdiction the PSI’s “best-known success.”

Interestingly, Ron Suskind’s “new book”:http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0743271092/sr=8-1/qid=1154120532/ref=pd_bbs_1/104-0701527-6319916?ie=UTF8 contains an account of the CIA’s involvement in the Libyan disarmament effort. Essentially, Suskind reports that the CIA had turned Urs Tinner, who then told the agency about the shipment. Not a PSI operation.

To be fair, the BBC China mistake doesn’t really affect what appears to be Kaplan’s main argument, which is that intelligence-sharing and interdiction are good.

But it does call into question the PSI’s effectiveness for the simple reason that the Bush administration hasn’t been offering any specific evidence that the initiative works. That’s kind of a big deal, especially given that the Bush administration has pushed PSI as a substitute for arms control.

OK, stop being a dork and go do whatever it is you do…