I know that there has been a good deal of speculation regarding the current U.S. assessment of Iran’s nuclear program, “including from yours truly.”:http://www.totalwonkerr.net/1864/dni-blair-on-iran However, it is useful to understand that the analysis in the relevant section of the most recent “Threat Assessment”:http://www.dni.gov/testimonies/20090212_testimony.pdf is essentially the same as that contained in the “2007 NIE.”:http://odni.gov/press_releases/20071203_release.pdf This,as far as I know, will remain the case until a new one is issued – an event which reportedly “may happen soon.”:http://www.totalwonkerr.net/1888/new-iran-nie And yes, that means that I no longer have the doubts that I expressed in “this post.”:http://www.totalwonkerr.net/1864/dni-blair-on-iran
That’s it.
As an aside, I have never understood some people’s alleged inability to understand the 2007 NIE. Nor have I ever understood why the fact that Iran stopped its nuclear weapons program upsets some people so much.