Monthly Archives: January 2007

Iran On Centrifuges

The AP had a “story out”:http://www.boston.com/news/world/middleeast/articles/2007/01/15/iran_said_to_install_uranium_centrifuges/ a few days ago discussing the Iranian enrichment progran’s apparent lack of progress. It was cited in the Nelson Report a couple of days ago (an excerpt from which can be found “here.”:http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/001879.php)

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I am also under the impression that Iran’s centrifuge program is progressing slowly. But I have to take issue with the AP’s interpretation of an item that appeared in the Iranian press:

Other signs point to technical difficulties at Iran’s nuclear facilities. Earlier this month, Vice President Gholamreza Aghazadeh, who heads the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, told reporters that about 50 centrifuges had exploded during a test.

“We had installed 50 centrifuges. One night, I was informed that all the 50 centrifuges had exploded. … Ahmadinejad called me and said: ‘Build these machines even if they explode 10 times more,'” Aghazadeh was quoted as saying by Iranian media.

The problem is that the centrifuges exploded last spring. And that event is mentioned as part of a larger discussion which clearly characterizes the enrichment program as advancing rapidly.

Here’s what the report, which appeared in _Ayande-ye Now_ 6 January, said:

The president’s deputy then mentioned the doubts of some of the order’s authorities about Iran’s ability to put the Natanz plant into operation and said: “In Bahman 1384 [February 2006], after the meeting of the heads of the three powers, we broke the suspension; in that meeting, they doubtfully said that we cannot put the chain of 164 centrifuges into operation until the next year.

In the beginning of Esfand [March] of the same year, we received the permission to put the chain of centrifuges into operation and in Farvardin 1385 [April 2006], we achieved enriched uranium.” Aqazadeh then said: “During those days, once they called me at two o’clock in the morning and said that all the 50 centrifuges have exploded because the ‘UPS’ “[uninterruptible power supply]”:http://www.y12.doe.gov/library/acronyms/letter.php?index=U in charge of controlling the electricity had not acted properly. Later we found out that the ‘UPS’ that we had imported through Turkey had been manipulated; and after this incident, we checked all the imported instruments before using them.”

He then added: “In Farvardin of the current year [April 2006], we put all the chain into operation, but we could not achieve the three and a half per cent enriched uranium product. I travelled to Mashhad, and I begged Imam Reza (peace be upon him); I was very upset. Mr Ahmadinezhad called me and I told him that we have had no result. He said: ‘Even if everything goes wrong ten times, do not worry, do it again.’ The same night they called me from Natanz and told me that they had reached a two and a half per cent enriched product.” The head of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization mentioned the achievement of four per cent enriched uranium product…[paragraph breaks inserted]

The part about the imported UPS having been “manipulated” is interesting…have some people been sabotaging their exports to Iran?

Chinese ASAT Test ?

Jeffrey and DefenseTech.org have what you need “here”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/1360/chinese-asat-test-massive-debris-creation-likely, “here,”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/1359/chinese-test-asat and “here”:http://www.defensetech.org/archives/003181.html.

If the Chinese did conduct an ASAT test, I, for one, would like to know WTF they were thinking. According to Noah, T. Hitchens best reflects my thoughts when I first heard about the event:

bq. Theresa Hitchens, with the Center for Defense Information called it an “irresponsible and self-defeating act” that will give “space hawks… more ammunition to take the United States down a similarly dangerous path.”

Yep.

2 Minutes To Midnight

“Jane has inspired me”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/1357/now-approaching-midnight to cite another “musical reference”:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_clock#In_music to the BAS Doomsday Clock.

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The picture speaks for itself, but those few of you who are not familiar with the song can click “here”:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2_Minutes_to_Midnight for more information.

I actually saw a documentary on metal the other night which fittingly had interviews with members of Iron Maiden, along with some old-school footage of them playing live with Paul Di’Anno.

And, just FYI, the Iron Maiden font was a top candidate for the font for the title of this blog. That would have been sweet.

*Update:*

Turns out that NRO, of all places, published “an article”:http://www.nationalreview.com/miller/miller200409150615.asp about 2 years ago celebrating the 20th anniversay of the _Powerslave_ album. Here’s that author’s take on the track I wrote about:

bq. The second song is one of Iron Maiden’s most familiar: “Two Minutes to Midnight.” It’s an anti-nuke tune whose politics aren’t exactly to my liking. Although the lyrics admit that “blood is freedom’s stain,” they also suggest that during the Cold War, both sides were deluded. The title is a reference to the *Doomsday Clock, whose main purpose is to serve as a propaganda tool of the Left.* None of this means that the boys in Iron Maiden are Commie symps — they aren’t — but a piece of me always has wished this song had been about Dunkirk or something. Still, the hooks are catchy and the lyrics are such that I enjoyed deciphering their meaning when I was 14 years old.

Loser.

Chris Hill Outsourcing Offer

I recently noticed that, during the most recent round of six party talks, Hill “offered to outsource”:http://www.state.gov/p/eap/rls/rm/78206.htm his diplomatic task:

Q: Can you give us some details about the proposals?

HILL: Again, I’m sorry. I don’t want to give you a lot of information on that because these are tough issues involving extremely important questions of nuclear weapons, and I just don’t think it’s appropriate to negotiate through the press.

Q: Can’t you at least get a Yongbyon freeze? That would seem to be a…

HILL: Oh, you think that’s easy? [Laughter] I’ll tell you what — *put that boom microphone down and you get it done and I’ll buy you a beer.*

I would totally do it for a good beer…

Have a good weekend.

Text of Majlis Bill

I found it a few days ago, but have been too busy and sick to put it up.

Here it is (from Iranian Farhang Radio):

bq. The government is duty bound, in view of the UN Security Council resolution [1737]… to speed up the country’s peaceful nuclear programme and to reconsider its cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency on the basis of the interests of the Iranian nation.”

For previous fascinating posts on the subject, start “here…”:http://www.totalwonkerr.net/1315/iran-majlis-vs-iaea-part-iii

Wonks on TV

Jacqueline Shire appeared with “-a space alien-“:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/1346/blogging-heads-tv Jeffrey on BloggingHeads TV. Take a “look”:http://bloggingheads.tv/video.php?id=180.

Lots of good stuff, but Jeffrey’s remark that members of the “everyone was wrong about Iraqi WMD” crowd need some “corner time” reminded me of “this post”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/601/youre-out-of-your-element-tommy I wrote about T Friedman a while back.

Especially this part:

bq. … those who supported the Iraq fiasco really need to STFU, stop lecturing the rest of us about foreign policy, sit in a corner, and think about what they did.

Still true.

More blogging when I feel less ill and finish my _ACT_ work…

*Update:*

Jeffrey admits to stealing “that line about wonks wrong about Iraq WMD” from me. I will simply note that he also stole my Rush albums…not that he’ll admit _that_.

Nork Test: Addendum

Adding on to Jeffrey’s “post”:http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/1343/nork-nuclear-test about the possibility of a second North Korean nuclear test…

Today’s _WP_ has “an interview”:http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/05/AR2007010501771_pf.html with South Korean Foreign Minister Song Min Soon.

This is what he had to say about the intel RE: a possible test:

South Korean news agencies reported yesterday that vehicles and personnel movement had been spotted near the site of North Korea’s first test, but U.S. and South Korean officials cast serious doubt on those reports.

“Seoul and Washington are having a close joint-intelligence assessment, but so far we do not have direct indication that there is an imminent test,” Song said. He noted that North Korea conducted its last test underground, giving analysts very little time to detect possible preparation.