From the. January 16 MFA briefing:
Yonhap News Agency: The incoming US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth at his confirmation hearing referred to the DPRK as a nuclear power. The governments of the ROK, US and Japan reiterated that they do not recognize the status of the DPRK as a nuclear-armed state, and their denuclearization policy on the DPRK remains unchanged. How does China view Hegseth’s remarks?
Guo Jiakun: China’s basic position on the Korean Peninsula issue remains unchanged. We believe that keeping the Peninsula peaceful and stable, and advancing the political settlement of the Peninsula issue serve the common interests of all parties, and hope that all parties will make an effort to this end.
PRC on Nuclear Weapons, January 2025 Edition
From the January 15 MFA briefing:
RIA Novosti: Seventy years ago today, the Chinese government decided to develop its own nuclear weapons. China today is one of the nuclear powers, and in recent years, the US has repeatedly claimed that China is increasing its nuclear arsenal. Donald Trump previously said that China would match or even surpass the US in terms of nuclear arsenal. What’s the Foreign Ministry’s comment on this?
Guo Jiakun: As a responsible major country, China is committed to the path of peaceful development and friendly cooperation with all countries in the world. The development of nuclear weapons was a historic choice that China had to make during an extraordinary times to respond to nuclear threat, end nuclear monopoly, and prevent a nuclear war. China follows a policy of “no first use” of nuclear weapons and a nuclear strategy that focuses on self-defense. China always keeps its nuclear strength at the minimum level required by national security, and never engages in arms race with anyone.
Ambassador Akram on US Sanctions
On January 3, Ambassador Zamir Akram, Pakistan’s PermRep to the UN, articulated some thoughts about recent US sanctions on Pakistani entities contributing to the country’s long range ballistic missile program.
Ambassador Zamir Akram stated that the U.S. sanctions go back a long time. When India conducted a nuclear test in 1974, the U.S. imposed sanctions on Pakistan to prevent it from developing its nuclear programme. Pakistan-specific sanctions were also imposed after the 1998 Indian nuclear tests. He underscored that there has always been U.S. discriminatory treatment against Pakistan vis-à-vis nuclear and missile programs. Ambassador Akram also noted that the strategic partnership between Pakistan and China may have been a factor in shaping U.S. policy, including the decision to impose sanctions on Pakistan. The pressure on Pakistan was also part of the strategy to contain China. He argued that Pakistan cannot cap its missile capabilities. In addition, he emphasized the need to develop its missile program to counter the threat from India, and underscored the need to develop a robust space program. Ambassador Akram concluded by noting that the impact of these sanctions has been relatively limited, pointing out that Pakistan’s missile program is indigenous, a development that has been driven, in part, by the country’s proactive response to previous U.S. sanctions.
Myanmar Indictment
Somewhat old news, but a gentleman named Takeshi Ebisawa pleaded guilty “to conspiring with a network of associates to traffic nuclear materials, including uranium and weapons-grade plutonium, from Burma to other countries.” According to the superseding indictment
IAEA Safeguards in the Middle East, 1992
This 1992 IAEA report outlines some interesting verification options for a MENWFZ. Showing that certain issues never go away, the report also contains this paragraph:
Pakistani Ballistic Missile Entities
Late to the party, but I thought it was worth noting this State Dept sanctions notice which has some useful details about Pakistan’s missile program:
Belarus-based Minsk Wheel Tractor Plant has worked to supply special vehicle chassis to Pakistan’s long-range ballistic missile program. Such chassis are used as launch support equipment for ballistic missiles by Pakistan’s National Development Complex (NDC), which is responsible for the development of Missile Technology Control Regime Category (MTCR) I ballistic missiles.
PRC-based Tianjin Creative Source International Trade Co Ltd has supplied missile-related equipment to Pakistan’s long-range ballistic missile program, including stir welding equipment (which the United States assesses can be used to manufacture propellant tanks used in space launch vehicles), and a linear accelerator system (which the United States assesses can be used in the inspection of solid rocket motors). Tianjin Creative’s procurements were likely destined for Pakistan’s Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO), which develops and produces Pakistan’s MTCR Category I ballistic missiles.
Commerce on Russia, Ukraine, and RCAs
A November 1 Commerce FR notice has a good summary of Russian CW use in Ukraine, as well as the broader RCA issue:
The U.S. Department of Commerce is expanding controls under the EAR to include certain chemical precursors that are essential for the ‘‘production’’ of chemical riot control agents (RCAs) and chloropicrin that Russia has deployed against Ukraine in violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). These new regulatory restrictions, which are specific to Russia and Belarus, aim to limit the use of these chemical precursors in the context of the war in Ukraine
Iranian Centrifuge Photos – Nov 2024
Not that I am a collector, but I don’t recall seeing this view.
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Verma on US-India 123
In September, DAS Richard Verma discussed the 123 agreement:
It was President Clinton who – once and for all delinked U.S.-India and U.S. – Pakistan policy.
Indo-Pak would be set aside in favor of a robust set of policy initiatives that, as I noted, were not only significant but they were creative, too.
There was no more creative, and – yes – difficult policy decision than to construct the U.S.-India civil nuclear deal.
This was a landmark initiative to deliver safe and reliable nuclear energy to India, while simultaneously bringing India into the international atomic energy compliance and safety regimes.
It took a bold change in thinking in India, and it took leadership here at home, with President Bush and so many others and then Senator Biden from his perch on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, to lead the efforts in D.C. and capitals around the world.
As has been noted by scholars here at Hudson and in think tanks across D.C. and Delhi, the deal was critical as it showed that our countries were willing to bend with history and take extraordinary steps that would have lasting effects.
DIA on Iran and Nuclear Weapons
For whatever reason, the new DIA report titled Nuclear Challenges contains two slightly-different descriptions of Iran’s nuclear program.
Here’s one:
Currently, Iran almost certainly does not have nuclear weapons and has agreed not to seek, develop, or acquire nuclear weapons.
Here’s another:
While Iran does not have a nuclear weapon, it continues to develop ballistic missile systems to increase their accuracy and lethality.