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	<title>
	Comments on: What&#8217;s The Chance?	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Andrew Higgins		</title>
		<link>https://totalwonkerr.net/2009/02/13/whats-the-chance/#comment-685</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andrew Higgins]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 17:36:48 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[	&lt;p&gt;What are the odds?&lt;/p&gt;

	&lt;p&gt;You can see a back-of-the-envelope calculation I did here:&lt;/p&gt;

	&lt;p&gt;http://groups.google.com/group/sci.space.policy/browse_thread/thread/cad9af907c6bfc39&lt;/p&gt;

	&lt;p&gt;&#8230;and came up with odds of about 1 in 25 that this would happen sometime over the last 30 years.&lt;/p&gt;

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<p>What are the odds?</p>
<p>You can see a back-of-the-envelope calculation I did here:</p>
<p><a href="http://groups.google.com/group/sci.space.policy/browse_thread/thread/cad9af907c6bfc39" rel="nofollow ugc">http://groups.google.com/group/sci.space.policy/browse_thread/thread/cad9af907c6bfc39</a></p>
<p>&#8230;and came up with odds of about 1 in 25 that this would happen sometime over the last 30 years.</p>
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